When 78% Isn't a Forecast: Reading the $144.5 Million Behind Polymarket's Fed Odds
The number arrived quietly, the way most consequential numbers do. Polymarket...
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2026-09-14
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Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$77,816.6 | +1.35% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$2,508.71 | +1.28% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$101.56 | +1.91% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$721.5 | +0.81% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.4 | +4.32% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0840 | +0.79% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.2097 | +2.59% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$7.5 | +2.68% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$1.01 | +0.39% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$11.37 | +1.04% |
Fear & Greed
57
Greed
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202610
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
Trending
Tools
All →Altseason Index
42
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$77,816.6 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$2,508.71 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$101.56 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$721.5 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.4 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0840 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.2097 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$7.5 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$1.01 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$11.37 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0xc1d8...fd38
30m ago
In
877,625 DOGE
🔴
0x22ae...0090
2m ago
Out
4,572.55 BTC
🔴
0xc17e...9a48
3h ago
Out
41,046 BNB
💡 Smart Money
0xb56b...35e7
Market Maker
+$2.6M
72%
0x8825...e7c1
Early Investor
+$2.2M
68%
0x4787...f84f
Institutional Custody
+$4.0M
94%